Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 297.547821 337.680809 382.620088 436.933170 501.145255 575.069754 667.232975
2025-01-12 236.418128 287.992214 351.145306 435.199352 545.712048 688.311879 890.007496
2025-01-19 195.565373 248.603768 317.198760 414.216152 550.902616 741.368681 1035.734563
2025-01-26 180.537661 238.281556 316.687216 433.889604 610.013715 874.206554 1320.018915
2025-02-02 170.899126 233.086089 321.232471 459.729518 680.590831 1035.797930 1688.903422
2025-02-09 156.638955 219.193212 310.918268 460.920245 712.042325 1140.181437 1987.877659
2025-02-16 141.944306 202.819718 294.595428 449.746985 720.359111 1205.465718 2230.807102
2025-02-23 130.144519 189.493124 281.249021 441.169175 730.953580 1275.727176 2502.567385
2025-03-02 123.925727 184.095446 279.667290 451.841333 777.221542 1422.394975 2985.177181
2025-03-09 116.328549 175.729665 272.245376 451.076692 801.498647 1529.569883 3412.643089
2025-03-16 108.063829 165.535813 260.704410 441.272932 806.211208 1595.812389 3760.340157
2025-03-23 102.399338 159.162729 255.049812 441.617401 831.398273 1712.815152 4290.747167
2025-03-30 95.486338 150.328752 244.612325 432.210704 836.012152 1786.677642 4740.538735
2025-04-06 90.319414 144.127412 238.371011 430.429737 857.379123 1907.977968 5401.854670
2025-04-13 83.082121 133.765319 223.637471 409.734952 832.518155 1904.742703 5643.497663
2025-04-20 81.749594 133.757521 228.066639 429.142815 904.695732 2181.131787 7057.311767
2025-04-27 81.153077 135.001826 234.938282 454.630091 996.875848 2544.647747 9095.591950
2025-05-04 77.788293 130.880964 230.996595 455.804447 1027.587607 2733.173784 10520.681861
2025-05-11 73.393292 124.533765 222.122762 444.784376 1024.164634 2812.017343 11478.204055
2025-05-18 69.611307 119.112826 214.702221 436.323556 1026.444398 2911.755342 12640.476904
2025-05-25 67.972110 117.687888 215.310323 446.850079 1084.091422 3225.391680 15359.609466
2025-06-01 65.380357 114.238790 211.432754 446.095899 1109.035039 3428.968845 17636.199990
2025-06-08 62.175336 109.392953 204.255206 436.425902 1105.667837 3523.039968 19275.298277